Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -185 NEV +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -4.6 (+12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -3.4 (+13.6) | 146.0 (+3.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -4.4 (+12.6) | 143.6 (+5.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -3.1 (+13.9) | 145.6 (+3.4) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -3.6 (+13.4) | 148.1 (+0.9) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | NEV 63 – 53 WASH |
| Nov 13, 2023 | NEV 83 – 76 WASH |
| Nov 25, 2021 | NEV 81 – 62 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-6 | 17-2 |
| Away | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#75) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#91) | 0.78 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#85) | 0.73 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#163) | 0.596 (#55) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 43.6 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 39.2% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 39.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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