Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | NEV -290 WASH +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +10 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | NEV -14.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.4 (-39.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEV -10.6 (-0.6) | 148.1 (-32.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEV -12.4 (-2.4) | 149.5 (-33.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | WASH 83 – 66 NEV |
| Nov 13, 2023 | NEV 83 – 76 WASH |
| Nov 25, 2021 | NEV 81 – 62 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 11-6 | 9-9 |
| Away | 3-8 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#152) | -0.4 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#122) | 1.12 (#50) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#121) | 1.61 (#48) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 56.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 45.5% | 14.3% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 44.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 66.0% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 39.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 39.6% | 33.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 39.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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