Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -188 NEV +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -15.7 (-22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+17.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -10.7 (-17.7) | 142.2 (+16.8) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -13.7 (-20.7) | 141.9 (+17.1) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -11.3 (-18.3) | 140.7 (+18.3) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | WASH 83 – 66 NEV |
| Nov 10, 2024 | NEV 63 – 53 WASH |
| Nov 25, 2021 | NEV 81 – 62 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#83) | 0.1 (#174) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#118) | 0.44 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#120) | 0.65 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#202) | 0.500 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.0% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 2.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 10.3% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 35.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.3% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 9.7% |
Game Analysis
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