Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | WASH +145 NEV -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +19 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | WASH -0.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -0.5 (-19.5) | 153.9 (-10.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -1.5 (-20.5) | 150.9 (-7.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -1.5 (-20.5) | 150.2 (-7.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -1.0 (-20.0) | 154.2 (-11.2) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2025 | WASH 83 – 66 NEV |
| Nov 10, 2024 | NEV 63 – 53 WASH |
| Nov 13, 2023 | NEV 83 – 76 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-6 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#148) | 0.6 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#136) | -0.41 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#139) | -0.12 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#157) | 0.514 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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