Betting Lines
| Spread | PORT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | PORT -230 LBSU +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +20 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | PORT -4.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (+19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PORT -2.8 (+17.2) | 143.3 (+22.7) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PORT -4.8 (+15.2) | 140.4 (+25.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PORT -5.0 (+15.0) | 144.1 (+21.9) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PORT -5.5 (+14.5) | 143.4 (+22.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2024 | PORT 63 – 61 LBSU |
| Nov 7, 2023 | PORT 78 – 73 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-6 | 7-9 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#291) | -6.0 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#180) | -3.77 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#172) | -5.40 (#351) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#208) | 0.342 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
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