He is handing the money / He is serving the food / He knows about your party / He is calling you dude. "Comfort Eagle" - Cake
Cal State Northridge Matadors
64 – 78
FINAL Neutral Holiday Hoops Classic
Idaho Vandals
Idaho Central Arena (Neutral) · November 27, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread IDHO -1.5 Away covered
O/U 159.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSUN win
Actual IDHO +14 142 Lost
Massey IDHO -5.1 (-8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 158.2 (-16.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 67% ✗
Baseline Plus ML IDHO -3.8 (-10.2) 150.2 (-8.2) 35% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ IDHO -1.2 (-12.8) 144.1 (-2.1) 46% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML IDHO -3.3 (-10.7) 149.1 (-7.1) 39% ✓
Baseline ML IDHO -2.6 (-11.4) 149.2 (-7.2) 38% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 10, 2023 CSUN 76 – 73 IDHO
Dec 20, 2022 IDHO 76 – 73 CSUN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSUN IDHO
Overall 20-14 21-15
Conference 12-8 9-9
Home 12-3 9-4
Away 7-8 7-9
Neutral 1-3 5-2
Last 5 2-2 1-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.6 75.8
Avg Pts Against 81.3 74.1
Massey -3.2 (#227) 1.9 (#142)
Bradley-Terry 0.95 (#113) 0.08 (#173)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.90 (#136) 0.21 (#168)
RPI 0.554 (#101) 0.535 (#134)
Shooting & Four Factors CSUN IDHO
FG% 46.5% 41.8%
3PT% 33.8% 34.1%
REB / G 41.2 37.7
OREB / G 13.2 12.3
AST / TO 0.80 1.05
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.8% 50.0%
TOV% 23.1% 18.2%
ORB% 36.3% 33.0%
FT Rate 23.7% 26.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.6% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 12.0% 13.9%
DRB% 73.7% 80.9%
Opp FT Rate 23.4% 33.1%

Game Analysis

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