Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +14 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -5.1 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDHO -0.7 (-13.3) | 144.3 (-2.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -3.2 (-10.8) | 149.7 (-7.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -2.2 (-11.8) | 149.2 (-7.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -3.8 (-10.2) | 148.6 (-6.6) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2023 | CSUN 76 – 73 IDHO |
| Dec 20, 2022 | IDHO 76 – 73 CSUN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-14 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.6 | 75.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 74.1 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#227) | 1.9 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#113) | 0.08 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#136) | 0.21 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#101) | 0.535 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.0% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 80.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 33.1% |
Game Analysis
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