Betting Lines
| Spread | EMU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | EMU -1650 NJIT +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +18 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | EMU -17.1 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EMU -11.4 (+6.6) | 139.9 (-11.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -11.8 (+6.2) | 135.7 (-7.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -12.2 (+5.8) | 138.4 (-10.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EMU -13.8 (+4.2) | 139.4 (-11.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-14 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -1.7 (#201) | -13.1 (#339) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#165) | -0.43 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#166) | -0.93 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#201) | 0.466 (#225) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | NJIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 37.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 38.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 62.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.