I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–13 on winners spread MAE 7.6 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kentucky @ Missouri +3.1 156.9 72% 75–89 ✓
Florida @ Auburn +5.6 143.1 78% 58–61 ✓
Chicago State @ Ball State +11.7 141.8 86% 63–70 ✓
Wichita State @ UCF +7.8 125.3 78% 45–52 ✓
Temple @ East Carolina +3.9 139.1 68% 59–57 ✗
Coppin State @ Richmond +12.5 149.8 87% 65–83 ✓
Harvard @ Maine -0.2 134.5 48% 74–73 ✓
Duquesne @ Dayton +6.8 134.2 75% 57–69 ✓
Davidson @ Fordham +4.0 148.9 70% 57–43 ✗
Rider @ Georgia +8.8 134.9 78% 72–78 ✓
Mercer @ Samford +1.7 144.3 59% 69–78 ✓
Nicholls @ Baylor +20.1 150.0 89% 56–85 ✓
Missouri State @ Northern Iowa +0.2 131.4 48% 79–67 ✗
Illinois State @ UIC +2.2 141.9 62% 51–55 ✓
Bradley @ Belmont -1.3 139.7 44% 60–63 ✗
Houston @ Tulsa -17.8 132.1 13% 89–50 ✓
Alabama @ Mississippi State +1.4 137.9 57% 78–67 ✗
Arkansas @ LSU -4.2 140.6 34% 57–60 ✗
Xavier @ St. John's +0.3 161.0 46% 84–79 ✗
Colorado State @ New Mexico +10.8 150.3 83% 69–88 ✓
Southern Utah @ New Mexico State +6.0 158.3 72% 79–75 ✗
UNLV @ San José State -1.8 137.2 45% 72–75 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada +2.8 133.3 62% 72–74 ✓
Wyoming @ Fresno State +3.9 131.2 67% 53–58 ✓
Air Force @ San Diego State +12.2 133.0 86% 55–71 ✓
Brown @ Northwestern +17.3 127.8 88% 58–63 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University -9.0 135.5 16% 69–61 ✓
La Salle @ Howard +2.7 138.6 64% 80–76 ✗
Delaware State @ Penn State +26.2 144.3 91% 46–60 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina -0.1 134.7 50% 72–47 ✓
Stonehill @ Sacred Heart +2.1 146.7 63% 74–67 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Ohio State +25.9 149.6 91% 59–90 ✓
High Point @ Longwood +5.5 150.9 73% 73–87 ✓
Radford @ UNC Asheville +1.4 150.7 57% 58–62 ✓
Elon @ Drexel +11.8 136.3 86% 50–62 ✓
Florida A&M @ Purdue +33.0 137.5 91% 49–82 ✓
Winthrop @ South Carolina Upstate +0.9 148.3 56% 62–70 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb +8.7 137.0 78% 63–83 ✓
Campbell @ Presbyterian -2.3 134.5 46% 72–82 ✗
Middle Tennessee @ Charlotte +6.4 135.2 72% 67–82 ✓
Austin Peay @ Queens University +9.8 140.2 84% 77–81 ✓
Providence @ Butler +2.8 146.6 57% 72–52 ✗
Liberty @ Bellarmine -8.1 133.5 27% 70–53 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.