Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–14 on winners spread MAE 9.1 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UCF @ South Florida -7.4 132.5 26% 51–75 ✗
Cal State Northridge @ Long Beach State +4.0 139.9 64% 55–71 ✓
UTEP @ Old Dominion +3.3 133.6 60% 78–70 ✗
Rice @ Marshall -0.5 155.2 39% 87–77 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ High Point +0.9 137.2 56% 71–78 ✓
Liberty @ Florida Gulf Coast -0.6 144.1 44% 78–75 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Eastern Kentucky -1.3 144.9 38% 76–65 ✓
Wright State @ Youngstown State +2.2 147.5 57% 87–90 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Robert Morris -0.1 139.1 45% 64–74 ✗
UIC @ Green Bay -0.9 136.5 42% 80–63 ✓
Loyola Chicago @ Indiana State -7.5 146.3 19% 64–56 ✓
Utah @ Arizona +18.9 155.2 91% 64–82 ✓
Houston @ Tulsa -12.4 136.9 14% 66–64 ✓
Idaho @ Idaho State -2.7 142.4 32% 74–81 ✗
Portland @ Pepperdine +0.2 148.4 55% 82–63 ✗
Georgia Tech @ North Carolina +12.5 145.4 86% 65–88 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Southern Illinois +0.5 139.0 47% 69–68 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Kansas City -4.5 143.3 28% 84–72 ✓
Auburn @ Ole Miss -9.2 140.8 22% 80–71 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Fullerton +5.4 140.3 71% 73–79 ✓
Tarleton State @ Grand Canyon +9.0 132.9 79% 59–80 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ San Diego +1.4 135.4 57% 65–70 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah State +1.0 144.1 58% 71–69 ✗
Colorado @ Arizona State -0.5 134.1 41% 75–57 ✓
UC Davis @ Cal Poly -4.3 131.9 37% 74–82 ✗
Utah Valley @ California Baptist -5.2 137.7 31% 73–75 ✗
Oregon State @ UCLA +15.2 149.6 87% 65–81 ✓
Oregon @ USC +8.3 143.4 78% 79–69 ✗
BYU @ San Francisco +3.5 142.7 67% 71–69 ✗
UC San Diego @ Hawai'i +3.2 139.1 66% 56–79 ✓
Butler @ Villanova +17.0 127.6 89% 42–82 ✓
Penn State @ Ohio State +7.2 140.3 79% 56–61 ✓
Cincinnati @ Wichita State +1.1 136.7 56% 61–57 ✗
Navy @ Boston University -0.6 133.7 46% 72–65 ✓
Binghamton @ Maine -6.5 132.3 25% 73–65 ✓
Niagara @ Iona +10.4 139.0 83% 55–78 ✓
Army @ Lafayette -2.7 144.4 40% 54–68 ✗
Bucknell @ American University +1.8 144.9 55% 55–63 ✓
Monmouth @ Marist -3.2 134.7 32% 48–84 ✗
Fairfield @ Quinnipiac +0.8 142.1 56% 66–72 ✓
Canisius @ Manhattan +5.2 148.8 71% 75–80 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Rider -2.0 134.9 43% 58–51 ✓
Iowa @ Minnesota -1.8 154.2 39% 81–71 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Southern Miss -12.9 140.0 14% 76–62 ✓
Georgetown @ St. John's +10.9 158.8 83% 69–88 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh -2.6 140.7 42% 69–57 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.