Funky Claude was running in and out / pulling kids out the ground "Smoke On the Water" - Deep Purple
← All models

Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
30–15 on winners spread MAE 8.1 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida @ South Carolina -11.9 143.0 14% 70–69 ✓
Kansas @ TCU -7.7 130.7 24% 74–61 ✓
Xavier @ St. John's +8.0 148.8 77% 71–79 ✓
Longwood @ Radford +3.0 141.2 61% 77–74 ✗
High Point @ South Carolina Upstate -14.0 164.2 10% 86–77 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Gardner-Webb +2.1 161.8 58% 61–53 ✗
South Florida @ Charlotte -1.0 146.3 46% 61–69 ✗
Syracuse @ Clemson +16.2 148.0 93% 72–86 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Georgia Tech +5.7 142.1 70% 64–71 ✓
George Washington @ Massachusetts -2.4 157.9 42% 61–74 ✗
Murray State @ Southern Illinois -0.9 142.9 47% 74–64 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +2.8 133.7 60% 47–62 ✓
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +3.0 138.0 61% 80–59 ✗
Lehigh @ American University +6.9 139.8 74% 67–68 ✓
Indiana @ Northwestern +4.9 141.1 67% 70–79 ✓
James Madison @ Old Dominion -7.0 139.7 26% 74–60 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Cleveland State +13.5 136.3 89% 50–65 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Oakland -0.3 147.7 49% 72–76 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +0.5 152.8 52% 86–77 ✗
Milwaukee @ Wright State +1.9 151.1 57% 95–79 ✗
Mercer @ UNC Greensboro +11.8 144.2 86% 79–78 ✗
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +19.8 140.6 96% 58–85 ✓
The Citadel @ Wofford +19.3 134.7 96% 68–79 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Presbyterian +4.3 145.9 65% 61–71 ✓
Valparaiso @ Drake +12.9 129.9 88% 71–81 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State -1.0 146.0 46% 72–75 ✗
Temple @ North Texas +10.3 135.6 83% 67–76 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Louis +6.9 152.6 73% 52–64 ✓
Fordham @ Loyola Chicago +9.2 154.1 80% 66–70 ✓
UIC @ Evansville -6.4 141.2 28% 78–67 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss +3.5 139.3 62% 63–62 ✗
Kansas State @ Baylor +15.3 151.4 92% 62–70 ✓
Florida State @ California -3.0 154.5 39% 68–77 ✗
Nevada @ Utah State +6.0 145.8 71% 69–90 ✓
USC @ Nebraska +6.6 144.2 73% 78–73 ✗
Georgia @ Arkansas +0.5 139.3 52% 65–68 ✓
San Diego State @ Air Force -14.6 123.6 9% 77–76 ✓
Miami @ Stanford +11.5 160.3 85% 51–88 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern +3.6 145.1 63% 58–85 ✓
Texas State @ Louisiana -7.8 146.9 24% 89–74 ✓
Hampton @ William & Mary +6.2 150.7 71% 83–94 ✓
Maine @ UMass Lowell +1.9 148.4 57% 86–85 ✗
UMBC @ UAlbany +4.8 165.6 67% 92–87 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Bellarmine -11.8 143.4 14% 77–61 ✓
Marist @ Niagara -1.4 129.9 45% 67–65 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.