That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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22–22 on winners spread MAE 9.6 44 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
UNC Asheville @ Radford +2.4 146.6 62% 53–77 ✓
Stonehill @ Wagner -1.4 124.5 41% 57–63 ✗
Saint Francis @ Le Moyne -0.3 152.0 46% 81–76 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Mercyhurst -0.3 139.9 49% 60–65 ✗
Central Connecticut @ Chicago State -12.2 135.1 14% 81–75 ✓
Bryant @ Vermont -1.8 137.3 44% 55–59 ✗
Georgia State @ James Madison +8.3 146.5 82% 63–83 ✓
Louisiana @ Troy +13.0 133.8 87% 72–69 ✗
Charleston @ Northeastern +0.9 147.9 53% 73–62 ✗
Campbell @ North Carolina A&T -6.9 137.8 23% 50–53 ✗
Towson @ Elon +1.1 132.4 54% 63–69 ✓
Monmouth @ Hofstra +4.4 132.4 66% 68–62 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Stetson -10.8 143.5 15% 83–80 ✓
Austin Peay @ Queens University +5.3 146.9 73% 92–78 ✗
UTEP @ Kennesaw State +2.9 142.4 65% 73–83 ✓
New Mexico State @ Jacksonville State +4.5 134.6 73% 61–52 ✗
SIU Edwardsville @ Morehead State -4.4 132.8 33% 80–62 ✓
Central Arkansas @ West Georgia +2.7 144.9 60% 82–71 ✗
Idaho @ Northern Arizona +2.9 142.7 64% 83–78 ✗
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +8.3 149.8 81% 76–95 ✓
Coastal Carolina @ Southern Miss +5.1 138.1 68% 87–78 ✗
North Alabama @ Lipscomb +6.7 145.3 73% 63–75 ✓
Jacksonville @ North Florida -0.2 153.6 50% 73–77 ✗
Southern Utah @ Abilene Christian +5.3 139.6 70% 59–75 ✓
Lindenwood @ Little Rock +9.1 131.3 80% 93–92 ✗
USC @ Maryland +11.7 155.0 87% 71–88 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee Tech +2.2 142.3 60% 66–71 ✓
Western Illinois @ Southeast Missouri State +13.1 141.0 87% 66–87 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Southern Indiana +2.4 135.5 60% 63–54 ✗
Wichita State @ Florida Atlantic +6.0 151.9 74% 75–68 ✗
Sacramento State @ Weber State +5.2 133.8 67% 80–77 ✗
Portland State @ Idaho State +0.9 139.5 56% 74–82 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Davis +2.5 135.1 64% 71–66 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -7.7 141.5 22% 79–77 ✓
Sam Houston @ Western Kentucky +5.0 152.0 72% 78–62 ✗
Louisiana Tech @ Middle Tennessee +4.5 137.7 70% 85–74 ✗
UC San Diego @ Cal Poly -11.0 154.0 16% 81–67 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Irvine +8.5 145.6 80% 84–72 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC Santa Barbara +15.0 140.3 89% 56–86 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Riverside +11.2 143.0 87% 66–87 ✓
Pacific @ San Francisco +16.2 141.5 90% 58–71 ✓
Oregon State @ Pepperdine -7.4 146.6 23% 84–78 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Santa Clara +14.3 143.6 88% 61–76 ✓
Bowling Green @ Toledo +7.9 152.2 78% 69–68 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.