I'm not a coward; I've just never been tested. "The Impression That I Get" - The Mighty Mighty Bosstones
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–11 on winners spread MAE 6.7 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
TCU @ Kansas +10.0 144.7 82% 62–75 ✓
Miami @ Duke +7.1 152.6 77% 76–80 ✓
Tulsa @ SMU +8.7 139.4 81% 58–83 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State -1.1 137.6 44% 61–67 ✗
Weber State @ Montana State +2.5 145.3 62% 66–69 ✓
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central +1.7 137.3 57% 79–73 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +8.4 143.2 79% 71–77 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana -1.1 156.1 45% 65–74 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's +5.9 134.6 74% 52–64 ✓
Richmond @ VCU +3.9 130.8 64% 75–64 ✗
Colorado @ Arizona +8.6 149.4 82% 72–82 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +2.0 135.7 59% 60–63 ✓
Penn State @ Purdue +8.9 133.2 81% 61–69 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +6.4 141.5 73% 69–85 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State -1.2 146.5 45% 64–67 ✗
Grand Canyon @ New Mexico State +0.7 132.4 50% 70–75 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech +5.5 127.8 71% 55–56 ✓
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina +0.4 143.3 53% 72–59 ✗
Wyoming @ Boise State +1.6 132.6 57% 61–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alcorn State +3.8 129.8 68% 64–69 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +1.7 151.9 59% 79–86 ✓
USC @ UCLA +5.4 142.9 71% 59–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -0.4 133.9 48% 46–58 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U -0.7 140.5 43% 78–76 ✓
San Diego State @ Colorado State -0.8 125.5 47% 63–58 ✓
UMBC @ Vermont +13.6 147.4 88% 43–82 ✓
Cornell @ Princeton +6.3 153.6 74% 73–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +3.0 143.5 62% 82–64 ✗
Indiana @ Iowa +4.7 147.8 69% 77–80 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +8.9 137.5 81% 57–72 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson +0.8 140.2 55% 69–84 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Yale +3.0 146.8 62% 61–67 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee -1.3 139.9 44% 62–69 ✗
Tulane @ Houston +12.2 139.5 84% 66–86 ✓
Richmond @ Dayton +3.2 131.3 63% 68–64 ✗
Michigan State @ Purdue +4.5 145.4 68% 70–75 ✓
Monmouth @ Saint Peter's +2.0 128.6 59% 54–60 ✓
Memphis @ SMU -1.9 144.5 41% 70–63 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas +4.5 142.6 71% 65–74 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State -0.2 125.4 48% 52–53 ✗
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State -2.5 135.9 40% 87–62 ✓
Creighton @ Villanova +5.9 131.2 73% 48–54 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.