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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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30–17 on winners spread MAE 7.5 47 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma @ Baylor +7.7 135.0 79% 72–67 ✗
St. John's @ Villanova +7.5 150.9 77% 65–66 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky -1.8 145.0 43% 59–57 ✓
South Florida @ UCF +8.4 128.7 81% 58–60 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Notre Dame -0.5 134.6 48% 87–80 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Siena +0.4 138.9 51% 77–71 ✗
Portland State @ Southern Utah +5.2 146.3 72% 77–65 ✗
McNeese @ LSU New Orleans +3.8 156.2 65% 78–82 ✓
Rhode Island @ Richmond +3.3 135.5 64% 59–64 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Alabama +3.2 149.4 64% 82–76 ✗
Washington State @ UCLA +7.0 139.5 76% 65–75 ✓
Utah State @ Colorado State +0.9 140.3 56% 51–53 ✓
UTEP @ Middle Tennessee +3.6 134.2 64% 59–66 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ North Carolina Central -0.0 133.7 50% 56–68 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Fullerton +2.0 134.5 58% 55–73 ✓
Sam Houston @ Grand Canyon +4.5 128.1 70% 66–71 ✓
Penn State @ Ohio State +5.5 133.2 70% 71–68 ✗
Iowa State @ Texas Tech +5.6 128.1 70% 41–72 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ UAB +6.1 143.1 74% 66–80 ✓
Niagara @ Monmouth +1.1 132.9 58% 58–61 ✓
Virginia @ North Carolina +4.0 134.1 64% 43–63 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Florida A&M +1.2 128.9 55% 61–56 ✗
Seton Hall @ UConn +2.3 138.0 58% 52–62 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Northern Colorado +0.2 156.9 52% 67–68 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego State +3.6 120.6 66% 46–53 ✓
UC Riverside @ Hawai'i -0.3 132.3 49% 67–68 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Stephen F. Austin +1.4 142.7 53% 76–62 ✗
Washington @ USC +6.2 144.5 74% 61–65 ✓
Indiana @ Illinois +3.0 140.9 64% 65–63 ✗
Texas A&M @ Auburn +7.6 143.9 77% 67–62 ✗
Fordham @ Davidson +9.9 134.6 82% 56–74 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +3.9 125.2 67% 42–36 ✗
Cincinnati @ Houston +11.8 133.6 85% 56–69 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas -1.3 140.8 43% 67–79 ✗
Iowa @ Rutgers -7.2 145.2 23% 84–74 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure -1.6 138.4 41% 57–56 ✓
UAB @ Middle Tennessee -4.8 140.9 32% 102–98 ✓
Tulane @ Temple -1.1 139.9 46% 69–60 ✓
Grambling @ Texas Southern +6.1 135.1 75% 54–73 ✓
Akron @ Toledo +5.7 143.4 73% 70–62 ✗
Mississippi State @ Tennessee +7.1 134.4 76% 59–72 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Nicholls +2.8 146.5 61% 71–64 ✗
Morgan State @ Norfolk State +6.8 142.1 78% 63–72 ✓
Rider @ Monmouth +4.3 133.9 68% 68–72 ✓
Massachusetts @ Dayton +9.9 144.7 82% 72–75 ✓
Creighton @ Providence +3.1 136.1 66% 85–58 ✗
Michigan State @ Wisconsin +1.1 138.5 55% 69–63 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.