What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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43–6 on winners spread MAE 10.4 49 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Florida State @ Duke +22.3 149.4 91% 65–100 ✓
Boise State @ Fresno State -14.4 144.1 12% 66–61 ✓
Arizona State @ Utah +2.9 149.7 65% 73–99 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -5.5 138.5 18% 83–58 ✓
McNeese @ Lamar -5.4 134.4 27% 68–66 ✓
Oakland @ Green Bay -5.3 146.6 34% 87–84 ✓
Delaware @ UNC Wilmington +12.9 154.9 87% 58–88 ✓
Marquette @ Georgetown -3.8 141.6 32% 76–61 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Baylor +12.8 148.0 87% 61–71 ✓
San Diego State @ Wyoming -8.8 133.1 16% 72–69 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Cal State Northridge +5.0 144.2 75% 77–103 ✓
Georgia @ Texas +3.4 144.7 64% 83–67 ✗
Santa Clara @ Pacific -14.1 148.8 15% 97–66 ✓
Kansas City @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +9.6 144.4 82% 59–65 ✓
Texas A&M @ Florida +11.9 144.4 85% 70–89 ✓
Arizona @ Iowa State +3.6 151.1 75% 67–84 ✓
California Baptist @ Utah Tech -4.3 146.8 35% 61–57 ✓
Oregon State @ Saint Mary's +11.5 133.8 86% 64–74 ✓
West Virginia @ BYU +6.8 140.2 80% 56–77 ✓
Boston College @ California +6.1 146.6 79% 71–82 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Northern Arizona -2.2 150.4 37% 83–73 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +30.4 140.7 91% 55–100 ✓
Long Beach State @ UC Irvine +18.8 139.1 90% 60–70 ✓
Portland @ San Diego -1.4 154.3 46% 80–82 ✗
Washington State @ Pepperdine -3.2 157.6 37% 90–83 ✓
Grand Canyon @ Seattle U +0.1 142.0 53% 63–60 ✗
Gonzaga @ San Francisco -6.4 147.1 27% 95–75 ✓
UC Davis @ Hawai'i +2.6 132.2 56% 70–78 ✓
Charlotte @ East Carolina +7.8 146.7 80% 76–78 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ South Florida -1.3 153.1 48% 69–63 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Indiana State +0.0 155.7 52% 77–95 ✓
Iona @ Canisius -4.6 138.4 25% 82–52 ✓
Kennesaw State @ Liberty +11.0 134.3 82% 85–80 ✗
Wisconsin @ Michigan State +4.7 144.9 70% 62–71 ✓
Manhattan @ Niagara -0.8 146.3 46% 85–70 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley +3.3 140.6 66% 56–73 ✓
Princeton @ Cornell +5.0 151.2 68% 70–102 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Marist +5.3 127.7 62% 57–52 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Merrimack +1.3 138.3 57% 63–73 ✓
Fairfield @ Sacred Heart +5.4 147.2 75% 62–83 ✓
Siena @ Mount St. Mary's +0.5 144.6 60% 79–85 ✓
Evansville @ Illinois State +10.2 141.8 82% 53–62 ✓
Valparaiso @ UIC +6.8 152.8 77% 73–77 ✓
Murray State @ Belmont +3.2 150.8 64% 60–70 ✓
Missouri State @ Drake +12.6 125.5 88% 60–68 ✓
Illinois @ Michigan +2.9 157.4 69% 93–73 ✗
Memphis @ UAB -3.5 161.2 32% 88–81 ✓
Colorado @ Kansas State +5.8 137.6 74% 56–65 ✓
Rice @ UTSA +1.0 149.8 60% 56–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.