Betting Lines
| Spread | SMC -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SMC -800 ORST +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SMC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SMC +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | SMC -11.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SMC -11.5 (-1.5) | 133.8 (+4.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SMC -12.2 (-2.2) | 132.3 (+5.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SMC -11.4 (-1.4) | 133.6 (+4.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SMC -10.5 (-0.5) | 135.2 (+2.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | SMC 81 – 51 ORST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SMC 63 – 49 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SMC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 17-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 16-1 | 15-3 |
| Away | 9-1 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.8 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#28) | 7.6 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.83 (#22) | 1.05 (#86) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.75 (#16) | 1.40 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.624 (#13) | 0.533 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SMC | ORST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.66 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 39.6% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.