Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–12 on winners spread MAE 7.5 45 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ Vanderbilt -8.3 157.7 21% 80–68 ✓
Florida @ Mississippi State -4.0 150.6 43% 81–68 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky +1.1 145.7 56% 64–75 ✓
Purdue @ Michigan +3.0 147.8 67% 73–75 ✓
Iowa State @ UCF -7.9 155.8 24% 77–65 ✓
Utah @ Cincinnati +6.0 137.7 73% 75–85 ✓
BYU @ West Virginia +4.1 136.9 70% 73–69 ✗
UAB @ East Carolina +0.0 155.4 50% 75–82 ✓
Syracuse @ Miami -0.6 156.7 51% 84–91 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Richmond -3.3 136.1 35% 87–80 ✓
Western Michigan @ Akron +16.3 152.8 89% 92–105 ✓
Toledo @ Miami (OH) +4.2 156.9 72% 80–92 ✓
Ohio @ Bowling Green -4.3 153.2 34% 86–81 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Ball State +3.8 149.0 67% 84–86 ✓
Central Michigan @ Kent State +6.4 135.1 76% 83–91 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois +0.5 150.7 52% 73–67 ✗
Arizona @ Kansas State -5.2 148.5 38% 70–73 ✗
George Mason @ Saint Louis -2.8 130.6 41% 76–74 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa +11.2 151.9 84% 73–88 ✓
UIC @ Murray State +1.0 147.3 55% 53–63 ✓
UCLA @ Illinois +5.9 146.0 74% 78–83 ✓
Southeast Missouri State @ Little Rock +3.2 135.5 59% 57–45 ✗
DePaul @ Marquette +14.3 144.0 88% 58–68 ✓
Alabama @ Texas -4.3 160.7 40% 103–80 ✓
Georgia @ Texas A&M +6.0 135.4 77% 53–69 ✓
Indiana @ Michigan State +11.6 145.9 84% 71–67 ✗
Colorado @ Kansas +13.5 140.2 88% 59–71 ✓
UConn @ Creighton +3.2 141.7 67% 70–66 ✗
Loyola Marymount @ Pepperdine -1.4 141.7 42% 69–60 ✓
North Texas @ Rice -5.6 128.4 22% 67–61 ✓
Pittsburgh @ SMU +4.0 153.2 69% 63–83 ✓
Penn State @ USC +2.8 149.0 64% 67–92 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +12.3 132.7 87% 52–77 ✓
Colorado State @ Utah State +7.6 145.8 80% 85–93 ✓
San Diego State @ San José State -6.3 136.1 26% 69–66 ✓
Northwestern @ Oregon +6.0 145.6 74% 75–81 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +7.6 135.9 80% 64–73 ✓
St. John's @ Villanova -2.1 137.8 46% 71–73 ✗
Colgate @ Holy Cross +1.2 140.0 57% 87–65 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Western Carolina -12.4 138.3 16% 67–76 ✗
Radford @ Winthrop +1.9 152.1 61% 74–78 ✓
Iowa @ Rutgers +2.3 157.5 58% 84–73 ✗
Oakland @ IU Indianapolis -4.3 141.5 36% 82–67 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Youngstown State -1.0 156.5 46% 71–93 ✗
Canisius @ Niagara +8.0 136.1 81% 60–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.