Betting Lines
| Spread | ARIZ -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +140 ARIZ -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +3 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | ARIZ -8.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARIZ -4.7 (+7.7) | 147.2 (-4.2) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARIZ -3.4 (+6.4) | 147.7 (-4.7) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ARIZ -3.6 (+6.6) | 149.2 (-6.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARIZ -5.2 (+8.2) | 148.5 (-5.5) | 38% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | ARIZ 101 – 76 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-9 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 82.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 9.3 (#63) | 20.6 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.47 (#67) | 2.87 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.97 (#62) | 3.64 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.553 (#81) | 0.617 (#24) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.4% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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