Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -550 NU +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +6 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -5.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -6.6 (-0.6) | 144.7 (+11.3) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -6.6 (-0.6) | 144.0 (+12.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -6.1 (-0.1) | 143.1 (+12.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -6.0 (+0.0) | 145.6 (+10.4) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NU 63 – 62 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 7-4 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#42) | 10.4 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#30) | 1.25 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.20 (#35) | 1.86 (#68) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#19) | 0.536 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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