What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–9 on winners spread MAE 8.2 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ South Carolina -4.5 137.1 31% 72–68 ✓
UNC Asheville @ South Carolina Upstate -9.9 158.2 17% 92–85 ✓
Oklahoma State @ TCU +4.9 135.7 73% 72–73 ✓
Tulsa @ Temple +10.2 154.7 83% 80–74 ✗
Louisville @ NC State -6.5 138.9 24% 91–66 ✓
Florida State @ Wake Forest +4.4 139.7 70% 72–70 ✗
Stanford @ Georgia Tech +0.5 146.8 53% 52–60 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Rhode Island +0.7 138.2 54% 64–68 ✓
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +11.4 145.4 85% 63–75 ✓
Dayton @ Fordham -6.2 146.3 27% 93–76 ✓
Davidson @ Massachusetts +1.1 145.2 59% 77–68 ✗
VCU @ George Washington -5.1 138.3 28% 80–72 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +9.9 146.9 82% 64–78 ✓
Army @ Loyola Maryland +0.7 147.2 52% 64–60 ✗
Lehigh @ Navy +1.2 141.6 57% 60–63 ✓
Boston University @ Bucknell +4.3 136.0 70% 60–76 ✓
Robert Morris @ Cleveland State +3.1 139.7 57% 68–59 ✗
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +8.8 135.0 81% 54–80 ✓
Mercer @ Furman +7.2 151.4 77% 72–96 ✓
Wofford @ The Citadel -12.4 136.4 14% 74–71 ✓
Presbyterian @ Charleston Southern +0.4 143.6 55% 70–71 ✓
UTSA @ Wichita State +4.8 150.6 75% 64–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +5.0 155.1 69% 82–68 ✗
Evansville @ Missouri State +3.7 135.4 61% 54–71 ✓
Belmont @ Valparaiso -3.3 158.1 41% 86–101 ✗
Xavier @ Providence -0.5 144.6 45% 91–82 ✓
Washington @ Ohio State +13.1 146.9 86% 69–93 ✓
Southern Miss @ Arkansas State +13.0 146.7 86% 67–101 ✓
Troy @ Louisiana -9.4 132.8 18% 74–56 ✓
Arizona State @ Texas Tech +12.9 143.8 87% 106–111 ✓
Notre Dame @ Boston College -4.0 142.1 32% 97–94 ✓
Drake @ Illinois State -2.4 129.1 25% 84–77 ✓
California @ Duke +24.2 144.7 91% 57–78 ✓
LSU @ Arkansas +7.8 145.4 81% 58–70 ✓
Oklahoma @ Missouri +7.9 149.5 77% 58–82 ✓
Wyoming @ New Mexico +16.2 141.8 89% 67–71 ✓
Monmouth @ Stony Brook -0.8 146.0 44% 79–69 ✓
California Baptist @ UT Arlington -0.9 144.9 42% 79–82 ✗
NJIT @ Bryant +13.4 148.6 87% 66–88 ✓
Binghamton @ UMBC +3.3 148.1 66% 77–81 ✓
UAlbany @ UMass Lowell +4.3 152.4 63% 90–88 ✗
Queens University @ Bellarmine -8.0 153.5 26% 92–87 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.