What have I done? "Police On My Back" - The Clash
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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32–10 on winners spread MAE 6.6 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
TCU @ Kansas +10.5 142.3 84% 62–75 ✓
Miami @ Duke +8.1 148.0 76% 76–80 ✓
Tulsa @ SMU +7.5 138.8 78% 58–83 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State -1.9 136.9 43% 61–67 ✗
Weber State @ Montana State +1.6 143.9 61% 66–69 ✓
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central +0.9 139.9 51% 79–73 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +8.9 142.6 76% 71–77 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana -1.0 157.1 48% 65–74 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's +5.4 133.9 74% 52–64 ✓
Richmond @ VCU +2.2 129.5 59% 75–64 ✗
Colorado @ Arizona +8.8 149.9 76% 72–82 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +2.9 132.3 58% 60–63 ✓
Penn State @ Purdue +7.5 129.4 76% 61–69 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +6.1 138.4 74% 69–85 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State -3.1 143.6 37% 64–67 ✗
Grand Canyon @ New Mexico State -0.4 130.1 49% 70–75 ✗
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech +5.3 124.4 69% 55–56 ✓
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina -0.6 138.6 48% 72–59 ✓
Wyoming @ Boise State +3.0 130.0 66% 61–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alcorn State +4.8 130.6 71% 64–69 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +2.3 149.7 57% 79–86 ✓
USC @ UCLA +5.6 139.9 70% 59–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -0.3 129.7 47% 46–58 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U -1.7 141.1 37% 78–76 ✓
San Diego State @ Colorado State -0.6 122.5 43% 63–58 ✓
UMBC @ Vermont +13.2 145.4 86% 43–82 ✓
Cornell @ Princeton +4.9 152.6 70% 73–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +4.4 143.7 64% 82–64 ✗
Indiana @ Iowa +5.8 147.8 74% 77–80 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +7.6 139.9 79% 57–72 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson +0.6 135.5 51% 69–84 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Yale +2.3 145.3 64% 61–67 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee -0.6 138.0 53% 62–69 ✗
Tulane @ Houston +12.6 136.3 87% 66–86 ✓
Richmond @ Dayton +2.8 128.1 58% 68–64 ✗
Michigan State @ Purdue +4.6 140.3 69% 70–75 ✓
Monmouth @ Saint Peter's +1.8 126.4 61% 54–60 ✓
Memphis @ SMU -2.4 143.5 37% 70–63 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas +4.5 140.3 81% 65–74 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State +0.0 121.3 50% 52–53 ✓
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State -3.9 135.2 38% 87–62 ✓
Creighton @ Villanova +6.2 129.9 74% 48–54 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.