Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–10 on winners spread MAE 8.5 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Army @ Lafayette -0.8 120.9 44% 47–52 ✗
Louisville @ Virginia +13.3 130.2 86% 53–77 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Florida State +2.7 141.1 63% 71–82 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +12.6 155.8 87% 73–87 ✓
High Point @ Radford +1.6 144.0 59% 85–71 ✗
Presbyterian @ Charleston Southern -2.3 140.1 38% 68–61 ✓
Rutgers @ Ohio State +10.7 133.4 82% 72–76 ✓
Chicago State @ Oklahoma State +13.9 131.7 88% 53–72 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +1.1 131.4 56% 60–62 ✓
Lehigh @ American University +1.6 143.0 55% 66–75 ✓
Dayton @ Davidson -2.5 136.9 38% 72–59 ✓
Fordham @ George Washington +6.0 145.6 77% 119–113 ✗
Duquesne @ Massachusetts +3.9 152.1 67% 61–80 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Rhode Island -8.0 143.0 21% 74–78 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Saint Louis +0.1 143.2 55% 80–73 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Colgate +9.6 133.2 84% 55–78 ✓
Holy Cross @ Bucknell +9.4 135.2 82% 58–70 ✓
Western Carolina @ The Citadel +0.8 134.0 54% 80–71 ✗
Furman @ UNC Greensboro +3.7 152.5 68% 68–79 ✓
VMI @ Wofford +11.0 148.7 87% 85–87 ✓
Mercer @ East Tennessee State +5.6 134.9 73% 69–80 ✓
Chattanooga @ Samford +12.3 157.7 87% 74–89 ✓
Marshall @ UL Monroe -2.2 139.9 41% 68–57 ✓
Clemson @ Miami +1.6 151.3 47% 82–95 ✓
Bradley @ Valparaiso -7.2 133.0 24% 86–61 ✓
Montana @ North Dakota State -0.5 144.1 47% 96–86 ✓
Northern Colorado @ North Dakota -0.6 150.5 48% 97–87 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Omaha +4.0 140.3 64% 55–81 ✓
Eastern Washington @ South Dakota -5.8 150.8 29% 93–79 ✓
Xavier @ Villanova +6.9 137.6 77% 65–66 ✓
Stanford @ UCLA +1.1 136.5 57% 59–53 ✗
NC State @ Notre Dame -4.5 135.3 28% 54–52 ✓
Rice @ Tulane +7.3 156.7 80% 59–84 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Missouri State +3.9 144.3 69% 64–62 ✗
Indiana @ Nebraska +7.4 145.5 77% 70–86 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +2.2 136.3 63% 89–78 ✗
Kansas City @ Sacramento State +0.4 136.8 49% 64–67 ✓
St. Thomas-Minnesota @ Idaho -3.6 131.9 32% 75–67 ✓
South Dakota State @ Weber State +14.3 142.3 88% 73–75 ✓
Idaho State @ Denver +10.7 149.8 84% 82–95 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Montana State +3.1 144.8 63% 82–76 ✗
California @ USC +10.4 153.9 84% 74–82 ✓
Fresno State @ San Diego State +15.0 140.3 89% 47–74 ✓
Saint Francis @ Sacred Heart +4.8 137.7 69% 67–79 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Rio Grande Valley -8.2 143.2 20% 85–78 ✓
Austin Peay @ Bellarmine -0.4 132.1 47% 84–68 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.