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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–12 on winners spread MAE 9.2 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Oklahoma State @ Texas +5.7 139.1 74% 47–61 ✓
North Carolina @ Virginia -0.1 128.8 47% 59–68 ✗
DePaul @ Xavier +11.1 154.1 86% 84–89 ✓
Arkansas @ Auburn -2.2 145.6 39% 76–73 ✓
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee -0.8 130.9 48% 65–66 ✗
Tulsa @ Wichita State +11.8 139.5 86% 63–81 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac +6.0 140.2 74% 75–59 ✗
La Salle @ Fordham +4.5 142.1 68% 61–69 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +8.4 150.7 81% 56–73 ✓
LSU @ Vanderbilt +4.9 144.0 75% 68–77 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +8.3 128.2 83% 46–74 ✓
UNLV @ Boise State +4.7 138.9 69% 76–87 ✓
Tarleton State @ Utah Valley +7.6 140.5 76% 58–72 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +9.3 134.4 82% 54–64 ✓
Stanford @ Arizona +6.8 154.6 77% 84–95 ✓
Minnesota @ Maryland +12.5 137.8 86% 54–70 ✓
TCU @ Kansas State +0.6 145.9 54% 80–67 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Southern +2.0 135.7 56% 77–63 ✗
Rice @ UAB +10.4 158.9 83% 60–87 ✓
Niagara @ Siena +2.5 131.4 62% 71–65 ✗
NC State @ Clemson -1.1 150.9 44% 54–80 ✗
Villanova @ Creighton +5.0 139.7 69% 74–87 ✓
New Mexico @ Utah State +3.2 154.2 69% 76–91 ✓
Utah Tech @ Southern Utah +2.8 153.8 63% 75–76 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Riverside +0.1 145.2 56% 52–68 ✓
Arizona State @ USC +2.9 140.1 67% 77–72 ✗
Rutgers @ Purdue +3.8 126.5 69% 65–70 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic +8.5 139.6 82% 65–68 ✓
East Carolina @ Houston +19.5 134.4 89% 46–60 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +9.3 139.5 79% 49–72 ✓
Ohio State @ Michigan State +1.2 141.9 53% 68–58 ✗
Texas Southern @ Alabama A&M -0.2 136.2 48% 74–61 ✓
Temple @ Cincinnati +4.3 146.3 67% 54–84 ✓
UAB @ North Texas -0.4 133.3 50% 76–69 ✓
Tennessee @ Missouri -7.2 140.5 28% 71–79 ✗
Ohio @ Toledo +3.4 162.4 72% 75–82 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Howard +0.7 139.8 56% 55–74 ✓
Niagara @ Iona +11.3 136.5 85% 59–71 ✓
UConn @ Marquette -2.6 149.4 38% 68–70 ✗
Penn State @ Northwestern +0.8 131.6 50% 67–65 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.