Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | UVU -278 TAR +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVU +14 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -7.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -7.3 (+6.7) | 140.7 (-10.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -6.5 (+7.5) | 138.8 (-8.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -8.2 (+5.8) | 138.6 (-8.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -7.6 (+6.4) | 140.5 (-10.5) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVU 79 – 72 TAR |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UVU 81 – 56 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-2 |
| Away | 12-5 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 70.1 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#79) | 0.3 (#164) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#53) | 0.30 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#53) | 0.38 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#44) | 0.520 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UVU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 34.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 23.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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