We are like Greeks. We are like Romans. / Centaurs and monkeys just cluster 'round us "Nemesis" - Shriekback
Wichita State Shockers
81 – 63
FINAL Neutral Conference American Athletic Conference
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
American Conference · Dickies Arena (Neutral) · March 10, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WICH -16.0 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money WICH -1700 / TLSA +950
Model Predictions
Spread Total WICH win
Actual WICH +18 144 Won
Massey WICH -13.2 (+4.8) — —
Massey Totals — 137.2 (+6.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 93% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WICH -11.4 (+6.6) 139.3 (+4.7) 85% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WICH -10.8 (+7.2) 139.6 (+4.4) 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WICH -11.1 (+6.9) 139.1 (+4.9) 85% ✓
Baseline ML WICH -11.8 (+6.2) 139.5 (+4.5) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 24, 2026 TLSA 83 – 79 WICH
Mar 14, 2026 WICH 81 – 68 TLSA
Feb 15, 2026 WICH 81 – 77 TLSA
Feb 1, 2026 TLSA 93 – 83 WICH
Mar 9, 2025 TLSA 73 – 63 WICH

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WICH TLSA
Overall 17-15 5-25
Conference 9-9 1-17
Home 8-9 4-10
Away 7-4 0-12
Neutral 2-2 1-3
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L12
Avg Pts For 71.0 65.3
Avg Pts Against 68.5 77.4
Massey 4.3 (#107) -8.9 (#318)
Bradley-Terry 0.52 (#125) -1.76 (#326)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.75 (#114) -1.88 (#311)
RPI 0.517 (#143) 0.411 (#333)
Shooting & Four Factors WICH TLSA
FG% 44.9% 41.3%
3PT% 30.5% 31.1%
REB / G 36.2 32.1
OREB / G 9.7 9.1
AST / TO 1.00 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.7% 47.8%
TOV% 18.6% 19.2%
ORB% 29.1% 25.1%
FT Rate 22.5% 17.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 17.1%
DRB% 71.4% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 18.3% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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