Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | UCSB -650 CP +460 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSB +10 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -10.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -9.4 (+0.6) | 131.0 (-13.0) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -9.6 (+0.4) | 128.1 (-10.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -9.6 (+0.4) | 132.9 (-14.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -9.3 (+0.7) | 134.4 (-16.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | CP 89 – 79 UCSB |
| Jan 23, 2026 | UCSB 107 – 67 CP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCSB 96 – 77 CP |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCSB 75 – 72 CP |
| Mar 1, 2024 | UCSB 83 – 75 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 8-25 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 1-18 |
| Home | 12-3 | 6-11 |
| Away | 10-4 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 59.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 4.0 (#110) | -6.8 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#95) | -1.92 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#103) | -1.98 (#319) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#115) | 0.396 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.