Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | SOU -175 AAMU +148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +14 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | SOU -3.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (+0.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -1.8 (-15.8) | 136.2 (+3.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -2.6 (-16.6) | 135.9 (+4.1) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -2.3 (-16.3) | 136.0 (+4.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -2.0 (-16.0) | 135.7 (+4.3) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SOU 88 – 85 AAMU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SOU 71 – 57 AAMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AAMU 66 – 56 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-2 | 9-8 |
| Away | 5-12 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#255) | -8.5 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#279) | -1.57 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#284) | -2.05 (#325) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#239) | 0.434 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 66.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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