Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Under |
| Money | NORF -600 COPP +430 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +17 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -10.1 (+6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -8.9 (+8.1) | 149.5 (-20.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -10.1 (+6.9) | 148.1 (-19.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -8.1 (+8.9) | 150.9 (-21.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -8.4 (+8.6) | 150.7 (-21.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Home | 10-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 83.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#202) | -11.5 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#163) | -1.21 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#173) | -1.64 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#123) | 0.456 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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