Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Over |
| Money | SIE -165 NIA +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NIA +6 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -3.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -2.5 (-8.5) | 130.5 (+5.5) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -2.4 (-8.4) | 125.8 (+10.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -2.5 (-8.5) | 130.7 (+5.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -2.5 (-8.5) | 131.4 (+4.6) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | SIE 82 – 79 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2025 | SIE 83 – 54 NIA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SIE 94 – 60 NIA |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NIA 69 – 68 SIE |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NIA 67 – 65 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#201) | -4.9 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#222) | -0.75 (#243) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#186) | -1.04 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#224) | 0.468 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | NIA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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