Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | QUIN -250 MRST +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +16 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -7.6 (-23.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -5.9 (-21.9) | 139.2 (-5.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -4.8 (-20.8) | 137.3 (-3.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -6.6 (-22.6) | 139.7 (-5.7) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.0 (-22.0) | 140.2 (-6.2) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | MRST 77 – 75 QUIN |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MRST 71 – 64 QUIN |
| Dec 29, 2025 | QUIN 64 – 58 MRST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | MRST 69 – 62 QUIN |
| Mar 8, 2024 | QUIN 73 – 64 MRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-10 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#161) | -7.2 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#171) | -1.46 (#310) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#171) | -1.81 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#142) | 0.435 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 18.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.3% |
Game Analysis
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