Southern Utah
Thunderbirds
76
–
75
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires WAC
Utah Tech
Trailblazers
Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -210 UTU +148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -3.7 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -2.6 (-1.6) | 153.7 (-2.7) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -2.9 (-1.9) | 153.2 (-2.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -2.7 (-1.7) | 155.3 (-4.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -2.8 (-1.8) | 153.8 (-2.8) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#104) | 0.8 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.81 (#104) | -0.22 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.91 (#108) | -0.14 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#96) | 0.475 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 31.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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