I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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34–8 on winners spread MAE 9.9 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Auburn @ Alabama +12.1 153.1 88% 85–90 ✓
DePaul @ UConn +18.3 149.9 90% 59–88 ✓
Maryland @ Ohio State +0.4 139.8 52% 62–73 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +9.7 148.3 83% 68–66 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame -4.9 142.3 29% 81–88 ✗
Long Island University @ Merrimack +15.1 131.3 88% 76–91 ✓
St. Francis Brooklyn @ Fairleigh Dickinson +7.1 145.8 77% 75–83 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Saint Francis +2.2 146.4 64% 69–83 ✓
Wagner @ Sacred Heart +0.1 131.9 54% 55–67 ✓
Tulsa @ South Florida +14.0 148.4 89% 56–72 ✓
Richmond @ Saint Joseph's +0.5 147.7 54% 67–83 ✓
Massachusetts @ Duquesne +7.6 144.0 80% 79–88 ✓
George Washington @ Davidson +5.0 154.4 70% 75–70 ✗
Fordham @ George Mason +2.3 140.3 65% 58–64 ✓
Lindenwood @ Southeast Missouri State +4.8 151.1 70% 65–84 ✓
Sam Houston @ Stephen F. Austin -0.9 137.6 44% 64–59 ✓
Oklahoma @ Kansas State +7.1 139.4 80% 69–85 ✓
Presbyterian @ Campbell +7.2 132.5 80% 63–68 ✓
Lamar @ Nicholls +10.6 147.9 87% 60–64 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Houston Christian -3.9 161.6 33% 80–64 ✓
UT Arlington @ Utah Valley +11.5 137.2 86% 59–78 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ McNeese +3.3 150.8 63% 73–80 ✓
Georgetown @ Creighton +17.6 149.2 89% 59–99 ✓
Texas @ TCU +1.1 150.4 63% 73–75 ✓
Chicago State @ Gonzaga +24.2 154.1 91% 65–104 ✓
Tulane @ East Carolina -3.3 154.5 38% 68–83 ✗
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ East Texas A&M -2.8 150.9 37% 93–88 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Northwestern State +11.2 145.5 88% 64–81 ✓
Penn State @ Northwestern +5.2 136.3 71% 68–65 ✗
Missouri @ LSU -3.8 149.6 35% 81–76 ✓
Rhode Island @ Loyola Chicago +1.2 136.3 55% 79–77 ✗
Grand Canyon @ Southern Utah +5.2 152.6 67% 83–78 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech +0.0 144.3 46% 56–93 ✓
Southern Indiana @ SIU Edwardsville +0.8 151.3 54% 54–68 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ California Baptist +6.4 144.2 78% 70–88 ✓
Utah State @ UNLV -1.1 148.7 39% 91–66 ✓
App State @ South Alabama +2.9 133.9 72% 61–68 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +1.9 141.2 59% 62–75 ✓
Arkansas State @ Troy +8.5 138.4 80% 59–63 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +16.6 144.8 89% 58–97 ✓
Texas State @ Old Dominion +3.4 133.7 67% 65–36 ✗
Boston University @ Army +2.9 139.2 65% 69–71 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.