You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young
← All models

Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

← Prev day Next day →
31–9 on winners spread MAE 8.3 40 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Clemson @ Virginia +5.2 132.7 70% 57–64 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana +5.8 156.0 74% 90–68 ✗
Bucknell @ American University +4.3 133.4 67% 59–64 ✓
Holy Cross @ Loyola Maryland +5.7 144.6 76% 69–73 ✓
IU Indianapolis @ Robert Morris +13.7 144.3 90% 64–67 ✓
Green Bay @ Wright State +17.0 150.0 90% 57–77 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +4.1 153.0 70% 68–81 ✓
Bellarmine @ Liberty +15.9 135.8 89% 56–76 ✓
North Alabama @ Eastern Kentucky +4.3 153.9 73% 48–73 ✓
Queens University @ Kennesaw State +7.0 154.5 80% 66–67 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.6 156.8 65% 83–70 ✗
NC State @ Duke +5.4 145.0 75% 67–71 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Syracuse +6.7 146.4 77% 96–76 ✗
Boston College @ Wake Forest +10.1 148.5 80% 71–69 ✗
NJIT @ New Hampshire +4.5 134.4 66% 58–59 ✓
UMBC @ Binghamton -0.1 149.5 49% 70–67 ✓
Bryant @ Maine -1.1 149.4 45% 64–66 ✗
UAlbany @ Vermont +16.0 148.4 89% 61–79 ✓
Florida @ Georgia -3.7 146.9 34% 77–67 ✓
Saint Louis @ VCU +6.3 143.7 76% 67–79 ✓
La Salle @ Dayton +12.8 136.1 87% 53–77 ✓
Toledo @ Central Michigan -11.6 153.5 14% 99–65 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +4.3 156.4 72% 68–88 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State +11.0 148.2 85% 75–82 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Western Michigan -0.7 146.2 48% 77–62 ✓
Ball State @ Akron +5.8 146.7 76% 83–87 ✓
Buffalo @ Northern Illinois +1.0 154.3 56% 85–75 ✗
Georgia State @ Texas State +2.8 133.6 65% 76–81 ✓
Villanova @ Seton Hall +3.2 131.9 62% 76–72 ✗
Texas Tech @ Kansas +8.9 147.1 83% 63–67 ✓
Arkansas @ Tennessee +7.5 135.2 81% 57–75 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State +1.8 137.1 65% 60–66 ✓
Texas A&M @ Ole Miss -3.6 137.0 31% 69–61 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Louisville -10.3 148.5 19% 71–54 ✓
Michigan State @ Nebraska -1.6 141.9 44% 80–67 ✓
South Carolina @ Mississippi State +14.4 131.5 88% 68–74 ✓
Fresno State @ New Mexico +11.4 141.6 86% 80–94 ✓
Colorado State @ San José State +3.4 139.3 67% 46–63 ✓
Charleston Southern @ High Point +0.4 148.4 50% 72–70 ✗
Xavier @ Providence +1.9 158.8 62% 94–89 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.