I'm just like a turtle crawling out of my shell. "Boombastic" - Shaggy
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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29–14 on winners spread MAE 9.6 43 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Ole Miss @ Kentucky +15.1 147.8 89% 72–83 ✓
Nebraska @ Ohio State +14.0 156.3 88% 78–70 ✗
Green Bay @ Detroit Mercy +9.2 134.8 82% 62–79 ✓
Robert Morris @ Youngstown State +7.6 148.2 78% 77–73 ✗
American University @ Holy Cross +0.6 133.0 52% 69–63 ✗
Bucknell @ Lafayette +4.3 152.4 70% 82–81 ✗
Stetson @ Central Arkansas +1.0 152.5 49% 73–74 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Kennesaw State +5.0 154.9 75% 73–82 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +11.0 149.0 86% 72–81 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Manhattan -2.4 138.2 43% 73–51 ✓
Vermont @ Maine -16.4 139.3 13% 75–56 ✓
NJIT @ Stony Brook +7.8 141.1 81% 68–87 ✓
New Hampshire @ UMass Lowell +1.7 132.7 59% 64–48 ✗
Hartford @ UAlbany +2.1 139.4 57% 67–55 ✗
Binghamton @ UMBC +4.8 145.6 73% 68–78 ✓
West Virginia @ Oklahoma +5.4 139.0 76% 59–72 ✓
Western Michigan @ Eastern Michigan +4.6 143.1 65% 71–60 ✗
Ohio @ Bowling Green -8.2 157.7 26% 77–80 ✗
Akron @ Ball State -2.7 144.6 35% 79–60 ✓
Toledo @ Buffalo +0.2 156.7 43% 92–76 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Central Michigan -2.0 150.4 39% 75–61 ✓
Missouri @ South Carolina +8.7 139.7 82% 69–73 ✓
Duke @ Pittsburgh -12.8 140.7 14% 86–56 ✓
Kansas @ TCU -3.2 144.6 41% 64–74 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Oakland +21.5 129.8 91% 58–70 ✓
UIC @ Milwaukee -0.7 143.7 43% 80–69 ✓
North Florida @ Lipscomb +2.4 148.1 60% 65–74 ✓
Kent State @ Northern Illinois -6.7 136.7 23% 63–55 ✓
Michigan State @ Michigan +2.8 143.9 63% 70–87 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ VCU +5.3 132.7 68% 51–74 ✓
Florida @ Vanderbilt +0.9 138.9 51% 82–78 ✗
Purdue @ Wisconsin -0.4 144.9 54% 67–70 ✗
Cincinnati @ Houston +14.1 138.4 89% 53–71 ✓
Southern Utah @ Montana State +2.5 150.8 67% 53–69 ✓
Louisville @ Virginia Tech +10.6 134.6 85% 43–75 ✓
Nevada @ Boise State +11.2 142.5 87% 67–73 ✓
San José State @ Air Force +4.1 131.9 70% 54–58 ✓
Cal State Northridge @ UC Santa Barbara +12.1 139.2 87% 61–70 ✓
Arizona @ USC -3.2 153.8 36% 91–71 ✓
North Carolina A&T @ Radford +0.7 129.6 50% 78–71 ✗
Charleston Southern @ UNC Asheville +10.6 145.7 84% 79–78 ✗
Hampton @ High Point +5.1 140.2 70% 77–84 ✓
Xavier @ St. John's +2.4 159.9 59% 66–81 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.