UNC Asheville
Bulldogs
78
–
79
FINAL
Neutral
Hercules Tires Big South Championship
Charleston Southern
Buccaneers
Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CHSO +1 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UNCA -12.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -9.4 (-10.4) | 145.5 (+11.5) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -10.8 (-11.8) | 144.4 (+12.6) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -10.6 (-11.6) | 145.7 (+11.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -11.0 (-12.0) | 145.6 (+11.4) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CHSO 92 – 75 UNCA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 83 UNCA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UNCA 80 – 60 CHSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | UNCA 75 – 72 CHSO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCA 69 – 61 CHSO |
Game Analysis
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