All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Big Ten Conference · Schottenstein Center · March 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread OSU -15.0 Away covered
O/U 149.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total OSU win
Actual NEB +8 148 Lost
Massey OSU -15.7 (-23.7) — —
Massey Totals — 154.6 (-6.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OSU -14.6 (-22.6) 156.3 (-8.3) 87% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML OSU -13.6 (-21.6) 156.1 (-8.1) 88% ✗
Baseline ML OSU -14.0 (-22.0) 156.3 (-8.3) 88% ✗
Baseline Plus ML OSU -14.9 (-22.9) 156.0 (-8.0) 88% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 5, 2026 NEB 72 – 69 OSU
Mar 5, 2025 OSU 116 – 114 NEB
Feb 9, 2025 NEB 79 – 71 OSU
Feb 29, 2024 OSU 78 – 69 NEB
Jan 24, 2024 NEB 83 – 69 OSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OSU NEB
Overall 20-12 10-22
Conference 12-8 4-16
Home 13-3 7-12
Away 5-6 3-8
Neutral 2-3 0-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 72.8 73.3
Avg Pts Against 67.7 78.5
Massey 12.9 (#22) 0.0 (#164)
Bradley-Terry 2.51 (#24) -0.31 (#204)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.05 (#25) 0.17 (#159)
RPI 0.606 (#20) 0.461 (#246)
Shooting & Four Factors OSU NEB
FG% 47.5% 44.0%
3PT% 37.2% 32.1%
REB / G 34.8 33.5
OREB / G 9.0 7.6
AST / TO 1.19 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 50.0%
TOV% 17.0% 17.6%
ORB% 29.2% 21.0%
FT Rate 25.1% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.2% 52.0%
Opp TOV% 15.8% 18.5%
DRB% 71.0% 68.8%
Opp FT Rate 21.2% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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