Betting Lines
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CARK -120 STET +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CARK +1 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | STET -0.9 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -1.0 (+2.0) | 150.9 (-3.9) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CARK -0.8 (+0.2) | 150.5 (-3.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CARK -1.0 (+0.0) | 152.5 (-5.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CARK -0.1 (+0.9) | 150.6 (-3.6) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | CARK 88 – 76 STET |
| Jan 3, 2026 | CARK 93 – 73 STET |
| Mar 3, 2025 | CARK 77 – 72 STET |
| Jan 10, 2025 | STET 75 – 65 CARK |
| Feb 3, 2024 | STET 73 – 62 CARK |
Game Analysis
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