Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +320 KENT -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENT +8 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | KENT -7.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -7.8 (-0.2) | 135.2 (-17.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -6.5 (-1.5) | 135.3 (-17.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -6.7 (-1.3) | 136.7 (-18.7) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -6.5 (-1.5) | 135.9 (-17.9) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | KENT 102 – 76 NIU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | KENT 77 – 73 NIU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | KENT 68 – 50 NIU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | KENT 85 – 47 NIU |
| Jan 17, 2024 | KENT 83 – 76 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 16-4 |
| Home | 3-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.1 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 66.8 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#306) | 1.4 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#288) | 0.68 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#286) | 0.85 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#294) | 0.536 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.0% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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