Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +6 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -12.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+2.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -10.7 (-4.7) | 138.7 (+1.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -11.3 (-5.3) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -11.2 (-5.2) | 142.5 (-2.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -10.8 (-4.8) | 142.3 (-2.3) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 74.1 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#34) | 2.2 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#31) | 0.69 (#117) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.80 (#34) | 0.93 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.596 (#36) | 0.523 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | NEV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 78.8% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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