Betting Lines
| Spread | OHIO -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BGSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | OHIO -7.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OHIO -6.9 (+9.9) | 155.7 (+1.3) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OHIO -7.6 (+10.6) | 158.3 (-1.3) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OHIO -8.2 (+11.2) | 157.7 (-0.7) | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OHIO -8.4 (+11.4) | 157.4 (-0.4) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | BGSU 68 – 58 OHIO |
| Feb 12, 2025 | OHIO 86 – 81 BGSU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | OHIO 66 – 59 BGSU |
| Jan 10, 2024 | BGSU 83 – 78 OHIO |
| Mar 4, 2023 | OHIO 92 – 58 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BGSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.2 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#276) | 3.8 (#114) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#275) | 1.34 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#277) | 1.36 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#295) | 0.563 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BGSU | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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