Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | KU -6.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -4.3 (+14.3) | 140.2 (-2.2) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -3.7 (+13.7) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KU -3.2 (+13.2) | 144.6 (-6.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.9 (+12.9) | 144.5 (-6.5) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | KU 74 – 61 TCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU 83 – 81 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2023 | KU 63 – 58 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-4 | 19-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 9.7 (#49) | 18.9 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#37) | 3.50 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#37) | 4.37 (#4) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#93) | 0.657 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 49.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 39.1 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.2 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 38.3% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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