It's tough kid, but it's life. "Holiday In Cambodia" - The Dead Kennedys
Youngstown State Penguins
73 – 77
FINAL Conference KEEPS Horizon League
Robert Morris Colonials
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · March 2, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -7.0 Away covered
O/U 143.0 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual RMU +4 150 Lost
Massey YSU -8.5 (-12.5) — —
Massey Totals — 146.0 (+4.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 90% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 92% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -7.2 (-11.2) 143.7 (+6.3) 73% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -8.4 (-12.4) 146.8 (+3.2) 79% ✗
Baseline ML YSU -7.6 (-11.6) 148.2 (+1.8) 78% ✗
Baseline Plus ML YSU -9.0 (-13.0) 146.2 (+3.8) 79% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 5, 2026 RMU 68 – 53 YSU
Feb 7, 2026 RMU 72 – 66 YSU
Dec 18, 2025 RMU 80 – 77 YSU
Mar 11, 2025 RMU 89 – 78 YSU
Jan 22, 2025 RMU 72 – 70 YSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU RMU
Overall 19-15 8-24
Conference 12-9 5-16
Home 13-7 4-10
Away 6-8 4-14
Neutral 0-0 0-0
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 71.6 68.4
Avg Pts Against 70.8 75.5
Massey -4.7 (#247) -10.4 (#322)
Bradley-Terry -1.02 (#260) -2.78 (#347)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.23 (#262) -3.18 (#346)
RPI 0.450 (#266) 0.419 (#322)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU RMU
FG% 44.9% 45.3%
3PT% 34.8% 33.3%
REB / G 33.7 32.2
OREB / G 9.7 9.0
AST / TO 1.01 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.6% 50.6%
TOV% 17.4% 20.6%
ORB% 29.6% 28.2%
FT Rate 22.7% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.9% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.1%
DRB% 71.7% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 21.1% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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