Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +22 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -3.6 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -4.4 (-17.6) | 134.4 (-10.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -1.9 (-20.1) | 137.0 (-13.0) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -2.4 (-19.6) | 138.2 (-14.2) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -2.3 (-19.7) | 139.0 (-15.0) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | SPU 75 – 65 MAN |
| Feb 6, 2026 | SPU 80 – 75 MAN |
| Feb 8, 2025 | MAN 84 – 83 SPU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | MAN 70 – 67 SPU |
| Mar 3, 2024 | SPU 89 – 57 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MAN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-9 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 62.9 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#261) | 0.9 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#215) | 0.13 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#226) | 0.15 (#161) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#236) | 0.533 (#112) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MAN | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.