You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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15–7 on winners spread MAE 7.6 22 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Charleston @ Hofstra +6.3 160.5 77% 84–89 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.6 143.0 47% 67–66 ✗
Massachusetts @ Fordham +2.9 146.0 63% 73–85 ✓
Syracuse @ North Carolina +7.2 157.1 80% 79–88 ✓
North Carolina Central @ Norfolk State +7.5 143.5 79% 46–75 ✓
South Carolina State @ Howard +8.1 149.7 80% 62–72 ✓
Delaware State @ Coppin State +11.3 143.7 85% 67–80 ✓
Northwestern @ Iowa +10.7 156.5 85% 61–82 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Morgan State -1.2 140.8 43% 48–82 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +5.3 137.6 69% 69–63 ✗
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +5.3 136.6 72% 75–72 ✗
Baylor @ Texas -0.1 138.6 46% 68–61 ✓
Kansas State @ Texas Tech +11.5 139.8 88% 68–73 ✓
San Diego State @ Wyoming +2.5 130.6 59% 73–66 ✗
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M +1.0 137.7 56% 59–53 ✗
Florida A&M @ Southern +8.9 138.5 81% 51–58 ✓
New Mexico @ Fresno State +10.5 136.8 84% 68–71 ✓
UCLA @ Washington -12.8 144.7 16% 77–66 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon State -10.2 142.1 16% 103–97 ✓
Providence @ Villanova +8.3 143.6 82% 74–76 ✓
Tennessee @ Georgia -14.6 146.8 12% 75–68 ✓
Dayton @ Richmond +0.4 138.1 54% 55–53 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.