Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +5 | 173 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -5.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -4.8 (+0.2) | 156.1 (+16.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -6.2 (-1.2) | 159.9 (+13.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -6.3 (-1.3) | 160.5 (+12.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -6.3 (-1.3) | 157.5 (+15.5) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | HOF 66 – 62 COFC |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COFC 66 – 64 HOF |
| Jan 10, 2025 | COFC 67 – 61 HOF |
| Mar 2, 2024 | COFC 87 – 76 HOF |
| Jan 5, 2024 | COFC 73 – 61 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#120) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#98) | 0.23 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.08 (#107) | 0.18 (#159) |
| RPI | 0.578 (#53) | 0.509 (#165) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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