Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +7 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -11.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -9.5 (-2.5) | 137.8 (-28.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -9.4 (-2.4) | 138.6 (-29.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -8.9 (-1.9) | 138.5 (-29.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -9.0 (-2.0) | 138.6 (-29.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Feb 27, 2026 | FAMU 82 – 71 SOU |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FAMU 67 – 59 SOU |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SOU 73 – 70 FAMU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SOU 91 – 57 FAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 8-11 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#188) | -9.4 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#221) | -1.42 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#223) | -2.07 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#207) | 0.451 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | FAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 26.7% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.6% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.9% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.