Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -5.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -3.3 (-9.3) | 135.3 (-3.3) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -5.4 (-11.4) | 136.1 (-4.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -5.3 (-11.3) | 137.6 (-5.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -4.4 (-10.4) | 138.5 (-6.5) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.0 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#306) | -11.7 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#290) | -2.20 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#291) | -2.74 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#267) | 0.399 (#344) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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