Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALCN +3 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | TXSO -7.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -8.2 (-11.2) | 133.4 (+13.6) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -5.9 (-8.9) | 135.4 (+11.6) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -5.3 (-8.3) | 136.6 (+10.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -5.7 (-8.7) | 134.8 (+12.2) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | TXSO 92 – 87 ALCN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | TXSO 72 – 71 ALCN |
| Mar 4, 2025 | TXSO 75 – 59 ALCN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TXSO 66 – 57 ALCN |
| Mar 5, 2024 | ALCN 82 – 79 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 8-10 | 9-13 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 66.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | -1.0 (#186) | -6.0 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#210) | -0.94 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.53 (#214) | -1.22 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#184) | 0.486 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | ALCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.