But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Physical Education Complex · March 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread COPP -10.0 Home covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money COPP -650 / DSU +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total COPP win
Actual COPP +13 147 Won
Massey COPP -12.9 (+0.1) — —
Massey Totals — 139.0 (+8.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 98% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 99% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ COPP -10.3 (+2.7) 146.5 (+0.5) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML COPP -11.9 (+1.1) 142.8 (+4.2) 86% ✓
Baseline ML COPP -11.3 (+1.7) 143.7 (+3.3) 85% ✓
Baseline Plus ML COPP -11.7 (+1.3) 144.9 (+2.1) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 7, 2026 COPP 65 – 47 DSU
Jan 3, 2026 COPP 53 – 51 DSU
Mar 1, 2025 DSU 83 – 79 COPP
Feb 1, 2025 DSU 84 – 61 COPP
Feb 17, 2024 DSU 66 – 56 COPP

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings COPP DSU
Overall 9-23 2-26
Conference 6-8 0-14
Home 3-6 2-11
Away 4-16 0-13
Neutral 2-1 0-2
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L1 L25
Avg Pts For 66.9 60.6
Avg Pts Against 74.7 75.8
Massey -9.6 (#311) -19.7 (#357)
Bradley-Terry -1.81 (#316) -5.03 (#359)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.18 (#315) -6.40 (#359)
RPI 0.440 (#290) 0.357 (#355)
Shooting & Four Factors COPP DSU
FG% 38.5% 39.8%
3PT% 29.5% 32.8%
REB / G 34.4 33.6
OREB / G 7.9 9.6
AST / TO 0.76 0.48
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 45.9% 45.1%
TOV% 19.4% 25.7%
ORB% 20.3% 27.4%
FT Rate 23.7% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.3% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 20.3% 18.9%
DRB% 68.6% 63.9%
Opp FT Rate 19.6% 22.8%

Game Analysis

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