Hmm, you're so pretty, not to talk to you would be a crime. "Baby, Baby" - The Vibrators
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
66 – 67
FINAL Conference Northeast Conference
Central Connecticut Blue Devils
Northeast Conference · Bogota Savings Bank Center · March 1, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread FDU -5.0 Away covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total FDU win
Actual CCSU +1 133 Lost
Massey FDU -2.6 (-3.6) — —
Massey Totals — 140.4 (-7.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 53% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 56% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ FDU -2.1 (-3.1) 139.8 (-6.8) 55% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML FDU -1.3 (-2.3) 140.7 (-7.7) 56% ✗
Baseline ML FDU -1.6 (-2.6) 143.0 (-10.0) 47% ✓
Baseline Plus ML FDU -1.1 (-2.1) 141.7 (-8.7) 51% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 CCSU 63 – 57 FDU
Jan 24, 2026 FDU 76 – 66 CCSU
Mar 8, 2025 CCSU 76 – 72 FDU
Feb 7, 2025 CCSU 87 – 66 FDU
Jan 18, 2025 CCSU 71 – 60 FDU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FDU CCSU
Overall 4-22 8-24
Conference 5-13 5-13
Home 3-8 5-7
Away 2-16 4-15
Neutral 0-0 0-2
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 67.2 61.8
Avg Pts Against 79.2 72.1
Massey -14.5 (#349) -14.3 (#348)
Bradley-Terry -2.89 (#350) -2.53 (#344)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.45 (#348) -3.14 (#345)
RPI 0.390 (#349) 0.400 (#342)
Shooting & Four Factors FDU CCSU
FG% 40.5% 39.3%
3PT% 32.3% 33.9%
REB / G 33.4 31.9
OREB / G 10.5 9.2
AST / TO 0.84 0.76
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.2% 45.9%
TOV% 19.6% 20.7%
ORB% 27.9% 26.0%
FT Rate 19.6% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 18.9%
DRB% 65.6% 68.0%
Opp FT Rate 23.8% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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