Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | IOWA -650 NU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +21 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -10.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.1 (-12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -10.8 (+10.2) | 153.9 (-10.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -11.2 (+9.8) | 155.5 (-12.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -10.7 (+10.3) | 156.5 (-13.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -12.0 (+9.0) | 157.0 (-14.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | IOWA 76 – 70 NU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NU 68 – 57 IOWA |
| Dec 4, 2024 | IOWA 80 – 79 NU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | IOWA 87 – 80 NU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | NU 80 – 60 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 7-13 |
| Home | 15-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#15) | 8.5 (#65) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.22 (#35) | 0.96 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#30) | 1.28 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#45) | 0.504 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | NU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.81 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 12.4% | 13.8% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.